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Karma condos by Lifetime Developments and Centrecourt Developments is going to be 51-storeys. The first 46 storeys sold out in record time in the fall of 2011. In fact, they basically sold an entire 46-storey building at the time with out any model suite of any kind (possibly never been done before in Toronto?!). There are only a handful of existing buildings that can boast breaking the 50-storey mark, but in 5 years there will be a lot more downtown.

If you missed out on this project, now is your chance to still get a unit here, and not just any unit but one of the highest units in the entire city that will have spectacular views. Please contact me for floor plans and pricing for the top-5 floors at Karma and your chance to secure a unit before the upcoming .

There seems to be a growing segment of the population and the media that feel that the condo market is about to see declining prices. I am getting more and more comments like, “I heard that prices are going to come down this year, so I’m going to wait until that happens then buy”. Based on this, I thought it was time for an update on the ever popular question of “How is the condo market doing?”.

I would like to specifically break down this quote from Benjamin Tal, Deputy Chief Economist for CIBC and resident MSM go-to guy for quotes on the real estate market in Canada. Tal is quoted as saying, “Prices are already softening, housing starts aren’t in the sky, MLS [multiple listing service] activity is starting to soften, so it suggests the market is already starting to level off”.

1. Prices are already softening. Really? Where exactly is this occurring? All I see are prices going up in the resale and pre-construction segments. There are far more buyers than sellers and average DOM (days on market) is still less than 30. Definite sellers market territory.
2. Housing starts aren’t in the sky. I’ve never understood why anyone bothers to look at housing starts as an indicator, other than on a year over year macro level. Housing starts go up and down with great volatility every month. Two new condo developments start selling today, one might break ground in 9 months, another in 19 months. One might take 18 months to build, another might be 26 months. Starting and selling and completing are three very different things. If someone can enlighten me on this metric I’d be much obliged.
3. MLS activity is starting to soften. I’m looking for a resale buyer who thinks this is true. Please contact me immediately if you feel that you have more than enough choices of quality, well priced listings fitting your search criteria! All I see when I’m on the ground every day with buyers is a shortage of listings and anything that hits the market with any sort of quality will sell over asking in multiple offers.

I would love to take Tal along with me as I search for properties (both condos and freeholds, pre-construction and resale, investors and end-users) for my buyer clients. I’m quite sure that after a day or two his opinion on the Toronto real estate market would change dramatically.

Please don’t get me wrong though-a slow down in our market would probably be a good thing after the run we’ve been on since March 2008. It would breathe some much needed life into the entire industry, however, I just don’t see it happening any time soon unless there is some dramatic shift in the market. I still stand by my comments I made in July 2011 on the market. Unless there is a rapid change in interest rates and/or a major economic catastrophe, the Toronto real estate market and the condo market in particular will continue on its current path which is presently appreciating at about 8% per year.

Those are my thoughts. What about you? Contact me or leave a comment.

When I have my first conversation with a new buyer-client, I often hear them say, “I want something brand new, never lived in!”. While I can definitely resonate with the appeal of moving into a brand new space, there are some notable drawbacks with living in a brand new condo. Here are my top-5 Disadvantages of Living in a Brand New Condo:

1. Property Management Issues. New buildings have plenty of ‘kinks’ that need to be worked out. Property management can be stretched pretty thin and your individual needs may not be a priority if there are significant building issues going on. Also, the property management company in a brand new condo is one hired by the developer. Many condo boards feel the need to fire their property management group and hire their own independent third party to manage the building.
2. Incomplete common areas. This is big one especilaly if you are on a lower floor and you are facing a long occupancy period. The common areas and the amenities are the last thing the developer will complete. Worst case scenario: it could be months or even a year before you can use your gym, party room etc.
3. Tarion warranty visits. You do your PDI (pre-delivery-inspection) and you find all your unit’s deficiencies, then you move in a couple days later. Chances are there is a long list of items that will need to be remedied. These will be done piece-meal over several weeks or possibly months. You will have painters and plumbers and handymen of all kinds entering your unit on a regular basis until this work is done.
4. Maintenance fees have nowhere to go but up. The initial maintenance fees are set by teh developer, and almost universally they are set far too low. After the first year of a new building it’s quite common for fees to go up 10-15%, but it can be much higher. Moving into a brand new building means uncertainty of what the maintenance fees will be in the near future. Established buildings are generally more predictable when it comes to maintenance fee increases.
5. Hidden expenses. Buying a brand new condo means you will have to buy some things that most resale buyers take for granted. Things like window coverings and light fixtures are not included when buying from a builder, but they are essentially ‘must haves’ in any apartment. Depending on your preferences these can cost a few hundred dollars to tens of thousands of dollars; money that you will not necessarily get back when you resell your unit.

Questions or comments about living in a new condo? Debating between going with a resale unit or buying new? Please contact me.

I wrote about the HST issue a couple months ago, calling it the “Elephant in the Room” with respect to the pre-construction condo market. I wanted to follow up this post with my own personal experience with dealing with the HST rebates (New Residential Rental Property Rebate-NRRP) when buying a new condo for investment. In short, it was a surprisingly quick and painless process to get back my rebate money once I figured out all the forms and the calculations.

The photo above is of One Park West, or 260 Sackville Street. The building was recently registered and I own a unit in the building which happens to be the Smallest Condo in Toronto. I recently closed on the unit and as an investor-owner had to pay an additional amount for HST on final closing. Here is my story for getting that money back from Revenue Canada:

In order to qualify for the rebate, I had to have a tenant in the property and a signed lease for a minimum 1 year (which I did). All in all it only took just 40 days from the time I sent in my application to the time I received my rebate monies back in full. Quite contrary to some of the reports I have heard of it taking as long as a year to get your money back. If you have your paperwork in order and you complete the forms properly this seems to be the result you get. I even was paid some interest on my rebate amount (presumably taking into the account the time I paid it until the time I was paid it back).

Some additional things that I learned when going through this process:

• Provincial tax (PST) is the biggest portion of the rebate by far
• Federal tax (GST) is the smaller one
• Provincial rebate is 100% until Fair Market Value (FMV) hits $450K, then is zero after that
• Federal rebate is 100% until FMV hits 350K, then reduces down to zero when you hit $450K
• Therefore if your FMV is less than $350K you should receive 100% of your HST monies back. If your FMV is between $350K-$450K you will receive most of it back. If your FMV is greater than $450K you will receive zero back.

The Problems I see with the New Residential Rental Property Rebate:

• If the FMV of your condo is $450K you will receive back more than $20K. If the FMV is $451K you will receive zero. What policy maker in Ottawa came up with this scheme??
• FMV is still a conundrum to me. Who determines it? How is it determined? What happens if the government doesn’t agree with your FMV number?
• FMV of  your unit does not take into account what you will actually ‘net’ on your unit if you sold it at FMV (it does not take into account selling costs).
• A better system might be to simply add an additional tax on investors who flip their unit after final closing as a percentage of their actual profit. Under the current system, you might both lose money on your sale (due to closing costs when buying and selling), and also have to pay tens of thousands extra in HST just for the ‘right’ to lose money on the transaction. Doesn’t make sense.
• Is the government in the business of discouraging people from investing in real estate unless that real estate is priced below an arbitrary figure of $450K??
• FMV is the crux of the calculations used to figure out if you qualify for the rebate. FMV is determined at the time that the HST is paid (at final closing in Ontario). The higher the FMV, the lower the rebate amount. Therefore I observed that it might be better for investors to actually pay the HST amount UP FRONT when buying a pre-construction condo, because this will result in a lower FMV and therefore a higher rebate amount!

Questions about the New Residential Rental Property Rebate (HST rebate)? Wondering if you qualify for the rebate or need help completing the application process with Revenue Canada? Contact me or leave a comment.

Christopher Hume of The Star put together a nice little video about Loblaws opening up at the old Maple Leaf Gardens. Hume hits the nail on the head in his description that this kind of thing is merely one example of the rapid gentrification that is taking place over our entire downtown core. People want to live in this city. They want to live right in the heart of the city. Retailers and developers are fighting to keep up with demand of all these tens of thousands of new residents. This is highly unusual for a North American city and the future is very bright for our little northern metropolis.  This is another example of why I am still very bullish on the future of real estate in the downtown core.

If you are interested in investing in this area, I would suggest considering the upcoming 365 Church Street development by Menkes which will be steps away from this amazing new Loblaws. Contact me for details.

There are some signs of cracks forming in the foundation of the ultra-luxury condo market in Toronto.

Two months ago I wrote a blog post about the Absorption Rates at some downtown condos, and how units at brand new, high-end buildings are not selling. At that time, there was a 30 month supply of inventory on the MLS for the Ritz Carlton. Today, the situation at the Ritz is actually slightly worse. There have been 2 sales in the last 60 days and there are 33 units available for sale meaning there is 33-months’ worth of inventory.

This statistic alone would not be comforting for anyone watching the luxury condo market closely, however, it gets worse. There have been 5 sales at the Ritz Carlton registered on the MLS since the building registered in the summer. The first 3 sales were in the summer and they averaged around $914 per square foot. Then a unit sold in September for $865PSF. Now just last week a unit sold for…wait for it…$728PSF! An incredible number when you consider the developer was marketing units there at $1200+PSF just 1 year ago. Also incredible when you consider ordinary buildings that do not have a 5-star International Hotel chain in them are selling for close to the same price per square foot.

Why is this happening? A few theories I have heard:

1. Toronto is fundamentally not a high-rise city, at least not yet. Those with $5M+ in assets still prefer good old Rosedale or Forest Hill over downtown. Eventually this may change, but right now it looks like it has not.
2. There is just not enough money in Toronto. All these suites at the Big-4 (Ritz, Trump, Shangri-La, Four Seasons) were sold to speculators thinking they could flip them to local buyers after completion, but there just aren’t enough buyers to go around for all 4 of these projects finishing around the same time (2o11-2012).
3. Toronto is not New York or Hong Kong. Brands like Ritz, Trump, Shangri-La have no cachet here (what about the made-in-Canada Four Seasons brand?). Hat tip to @BrianPersaud for this point.

Implications:

1. If you bought a condo at $1000+ per square foot and it is not located in Yorkville, you should be worried. If you bought a condo at $1500+ per square foot I honestly think you are in serious trouble.
2. It’s still better to buy 3 condos at $300K each for investment than it is to buy 1 at $1M.
3. If you are trying to sell a unit in one of the Big-4 this year or next year, be patient! You may be better off renting out your property for a few years until the dust settles and all 4 of the Big-4 are completed and registered. This will also allow time for the buildings to distinguish themselves from the average Toronto condo in the minds of condo buyers.
4. If you are a buyer looking in the luxury market, especially an international buyer, you this is a great time. You can pick up one of the nicest properties in Toronto for only slightly more per square foot than the average middle of the road stuff! Time to go shopping! (contact me

Questions or comments? What do you think is going on in the luxury market in Toronto? Please contact me or leave your thoughts in the comments section below.

VIP Sales for Nero Condos are starting now. Please contact me for more information including floor plans and pricing info. If you missed out on recent boutique projects in the area like B.Streets condos or Motif, now is a great time to purchase a unit at Nero during the VIP sales event. If you are a buyer who is not attracted to the monster condo towers going up all over the downtown core, this high design boutique project in a rapidly gentrifying neighbourhood might be a great option for you to consider.

The project will have a mix of condos, 2-storey loft style units, and larger townhomes. The condos will range from studios at 400 sq ft up to 2 bedroom and den suites at just over 1000 sq ft. The 2-storey lofts will range from 891 sq ft up to 1394 sq ft, and the 3-bedroom townhomes will range from 1567 sq ft to 1774 sq ft! There will only be 98 units in total in this project so I expect that it will sell fairly quickly and prices will likely rise sharply after the VIP sales event is finished.

Nero’s striking architectural design is by RAW Design, well known for their stunning designs of Cube Lofts in Little Italy, Motif (Queen and Ossington), and the new BMW MINI dealership on Eastern Avenue.

VIP pricing for Nero will be very competitive, starting as low as $530 per square foot! Contact me for more details and your chance to buy in this exciting Dundas Street West project before the public launch.